Today

Will today produce some action or be a bust.....

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A STRONG AND QUICK MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING THROUGH THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THIS HAPPENS. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...WITH
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.


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The Discussion Highlights

REGARDING SEVERE WX THREAT...ENTIRE CWA REMAINS OUTLOOKED BY SPC
IN SLGT RISK. THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY PARAMETERS NOT REALLY
FAVORABLE FOR SVR TDA...BUT THERE IS AMPLE SHEAR/LOW LCLS THAT
NEED TO BE MONITORED THIS MORNING. ANOTHER AGGRAVATING FACTOR WL
BE LLVL JET...WHICH IS STILL RIGHT OVR SE HALF OF THE REGION AS
FRONT APPROACHES. CONCERN FOR SEVERE CHCS WANING AS LOW CLDS PUSH
INTO THE CWA THIS MORNING. HV BULKED UP CLD CVR IN GRIDS PER
LATEST TRENDS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...INSTABILITY WOULD
OBVIOUSLY BE UNDERCUT SIGNIFICANTLY. STILL...ONLY A SHORT PERIOD
OF CLRING SKIES WOULD ALLOW FOR DESTABILIZATION. GIVEN CURRENT
SAT/RADAR TRENDS...THE GREATEST POSSIBILITY OF THIS OCCURRING IS
OVER EASTERN HALF OF CWA. MORNING CREW WL BE ABLE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF CLD SHIELD AS IT ADVANCES INTO THE REGION...AND WL BE
ABLE TO ADJUST SKY GRIDS AS NECESSARY. GIVEN LACK OF ANY
SUBSTANTIVE CAPE TO SPEAK OF AND QUASI-UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND
SHEAR...FEEL THAT DAMAGING WNDS WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD WITH ANY
STRONG STORMS THAT DO FLARE UP TODAY...AND WL HIGHLIGHT THIS THREAT
FOR THE ENTIRE CWA IN THE HWO.
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