Thursday, August 24, 2006

Real Potential

This afternoon at 3:30pm the National Hurricane Center upgraded 97L.Invest to TD05 as a closed circulation was found at the surface. So far this season there really hasn't been a big threat to the coastal United States. That all changes tonight. The Gulf Coast and particularly the Texas coast needs to closely watch this system the next 120 hours as it heads towards Jamaica and Cancun Mexico. This storm has formed in the classic location between 10N-15N Latitude. The most recent hurricane to form this far south was Charlie. We will have our first storm of the season to track, so keep checking back for updates. The short term forecast shows some drier air to the NW of the storm, but after that the shear could weaken and there is plenty of warm water in the Caribbean. Stay tuned, this could get interesting.

SCM

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