Thursday, August 04, 2005

Tropical Depression #9, Irene?

Today tropical depression #9 has been named by the NHC, keeping the staggering pace of tropical development for 2005 at full throttle. Outflow and thunderstorm development has been impressive today and it is a very large system overall. It is way too early to tell where it is going to go at this point, but a general WNW motion is expected through the weekend according to the NHC. The models have taken an early stab at the forecast track. The only area in the Atlantic that could currently affect TD09 is a frontal boundary and weakness in the Bermuda High that has been caused by Franklin and Harvey. Tropical Storms Franklin and Harvey have really put a large dent in the Bermuda High that has been keeping tropical systems low on the latitude range and pushing them west across the Atlantic into Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. There is also a frontal boundary sitting across the Atlantic that could pull the system more North. My early guess is that TD09 will turn into Tropical Storm Irene later tomorrow. After that the system may begin to track on more of a NW motion into the middle of the Atlantic causing no threat to the US mainland. Bermuda could take another Tropical Storm hit, but like I said it is very early. Depending on how large TD09 becomes, it could create its own weather pattern and do what it wants. It is 2005 after all. Check back later for the updates....

*Note - This post is not done by a professional Meteorologist and should not be used for making decisions on safety and protection of property. Always use your local National Weather Service station or the National Hurricane Center for up to date weather information and data.*

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi, Mike. I live just south of you near Pittsboro. Found your blog via Hurricane City. Blog looks to be very well done and I have bookmarked you. Still haven't decided to join their board, what with all the O/T stuff. I enjoy and learn from your posts there and thought I'd go straight to the source.

Looks like an intense season this year and I have a gut feeling about #9 affecting our area. Maybe we can share info when we take our turn(as long as the power stays on).

Chatham John