Wednesday, July 27, 2005

Monsoons, More Heat, and a Train of Tropical Waves....

Once in a blue moon you have a weather event happen on earth that is so unheard of that it almost seems unreal. Yesterday in Bombay India they received over 37 inches of rain in one 24 hour period. That's more rain than some parts of the US receive in a whole year. The affect it has had on Bombay through flooding, mudslides and human deaths is absolutely astonishing. I'm still having a hard time understanding that kind of rain fall in one day. So far the death toll is over 100 and I'm sure it is going to climb even higher. All banks in Bombay are closed today. The news states that their is chaos in Mumbai, Bombay and surrounding cities. The flood waters continue to rise and almost all passable roadways are closed off. Pretty scary.

The heat here in Central North Carolina continues to be miserable. The weather monitor on my computer currently states the actual temperature is 102 Degrees with a Heat Index of over 110. For fun we took the temperature monitor from our data center outside and put it on the asphalt in the parking lot, it read 132 degrees! Good news is that the Heat Wave is about to break as a cold front is forecast to push thru and cool things off. Hopefully, we will get some good storms when the front moves through.

The Tropics are really starting to look interesting today. It looks like we could have another CONUS bound Hurricane in the next 7-10 days. We are currently tracking two Tropical Waves, 92L.Invest and 93L.Invest. Both are still getting their act together, but the current water temperatures in the Atlantic and wind shear conditions are very favorable for development. I have been looking at the current forecast for the remainder of the tropical season and people are starting to compare this season to 1999. When compared to 1999, the warm water corridor path from Africa to the North Carolina coast was almost identical to this year. Last season we had a Bermuda High in place that helped block storms into Florida and leaving the East Coast protected. Not this season. I wouldn't be surprised to see North Carolina dealing with its first Hurricane of the season in the next 7-10 days.

Joe Bastardi is a forecaster with Accuweather.com and they have put out their updated tropical forecast for the remainder of this week, as well as the remainder of the season. Check them out. Very interesting.

SCM

*Note - This post is not done by a professional Meteorologist and should not be used for making decisions on safety and protection of property. Always use your local National Weather Service station or the National Hurricane Center for up to date weather information and data.*

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