Hold Onto Your Hats...

The tropics have exploded with activity this morning as we have both TD08 (91L) and TD09 (90L) officially announced by the NHC. Of these two systems, TD08 is the one to watch. The storm looks very impressive on Satellite this morning with upper level outflow, deep convection, no shear, and a nice closed area of circulation through all levels of the atmosphere. I believe TD08 will soon be "Humberto", probably by this evening. "Humberto" will then be the first hurricane to strike the US mainland in almost 2 years in the next 10 days. There will be some strong shear and dry air in this storms future path, so the models aren't exactly building a strong storm out of TD08 yet. It is going be get very interesting, so hold onto your hats. Everyone from New York to Florida will be in play with this storm. Jim Williams does a great job describing what the key factors are in this systems future track in this video. The dreaded left handed hook from a blocking Bermuda High to the north is scaring me on the Mid-Atlantic coast.

SCM