For days now we have been watching the models shift on Tropical Storm Irene. The difference in model outputs has ranged from dissippation, to a NW turn out to sea, to a more Westerly track towards the East Coast. Well the model trend for the past few days has been with the UKMet and a shift towards the westerly track and the East Coast. The weakening in the middle of the high pressure system that would pull Irene north behind Harvey has not been happening. In fact the Bermuda high has built in pretty strong the last couple days and in essence closing the door on the move by Irene to the NW. The problem with this scenario is that now Irene is over 28C water, gaining strength, and moving more towards the West. This brings the East Coast into play for Irene early next week. These are still just possibilities and the forecast seems to change every 6 hours with the model runs. It may be time to start paying attention to this system if you are in Florida to the Mid-Atlantic.
*Note - This post is not done by a professional Meteorologist and should not be used for making decisions on safety and protection of property. Always use your local National Weather Service station or the National Hurricane Center for up to date weather information and data.*