tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14664989.post1299404116646709977..comments2023-11-03T05:38:33.770-04:00Comments on Storm Chasing Mikey: The March Blizzard?Storm Chasing Mikeyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01423054435529044197noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14664989.post-26004881833152160282009-02-27T13:57:00.000-05:002009-02-27T13:57:00.000-05:00LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...STILL ...LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...<BR/>STILL VERY CHALLENGING FCST IN THE SUN NIGHT AND MON TIME FRAME.<BR/>ECMWF HAS TRENDED A BIT WEAKER/FARTHER NORTHWARD WITH THE CUTOFF<BR/>LOW...NOW BEING ON THE NORTH END OF ALL GDNC. A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY<BR/>REMAINS AND HAVE GNLY MADE ONLY SLIGHT CHANGES TO CURRENT FCST.<BR/>BUMPED POPS UP A BIT SUN NGT/MON BUT STILL CAPPING CHANCES AT 50%.<BR/>ON MONDAY...A CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS SOLNS YIELDS PTYPE AS SNOW<BR/>FOR ALL OF THE CWA. HAVE KEPT IN A MIX W/ RAIN ALONG THE SE VA/NC<BR/>COAST THRU MIDDAY MON UNTIL LOW LVL FLOW TURNS MORE NNW....THEN<BR/>FCST HAS NOTHING BUT SNOW AS PTYPE ALL ZONES. EXACT TRACK WILL<BR/>DETERMINE DIFFERENCE BETWN A HVY SNOW EVENT VS NOTHING (ALL PRECIP<BR/>OFFSHORE OR TO THE SOUTH AS W/ PREV SYSTEMS THIS WINTER). ONE<BR/>POSITIVE FOR SNOW ENTHUSIASTS IS THAT SEVERAL PAST LA NINA WINTERS<BR/>OVER THE MID ATLC/CAROLINAS HAVE HAD LITTLE OR SNOW THROUGH MOST<BR/>OF THE SEASON ONLY TO RECEIVE A SIGNIFICANT STORM LATE IN THE<BR/>SEASON (FEB/MAR). TIME WILL TELL.<BR/><BR/>AS THIS IS AN UPPER LOW CUTOFF...THE WEATHER SYSTEM HAS NO REAL ARCTIC<BR/>AIR BEHIND IT AND THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND INTO THE<BR/>40S ON TUE AND U40S TO 50S WED AND THU. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE<BR/>20S TUE MORNING AND U20S TO 30S WED AND THU MORNING.Storm Chasing Mikeyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01423054435529044197noreply@blogger.com